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Table 4. A Comparison of Provincial Vote Intentions in Three CROP Polls of October and November 1998 and their Implications
Vote Intentions
% % % % %
Liberal PQ ADQ Others Nondisclosers
1. CROP/Media 1
(Oct. 15-21)
34 39 7 2 18
2. CROP/CRIC 1
(Oct. 14-27)
40 37 4 4 15
Differences (2-1) +6 -2 -3 +2 -3
3. CROP/Media 2
(Nov. 19-23)
31 42 12 1 14
4. Hypothetical CROP/CRIC 2
(End of Nov.)
+6 -2 -3 +2 -3
Hypothetical Results 37 40 9 3 11
5. CROP/Media 2
(Prorata Realloc.)
36 49 14 1 -
6. Hypothetical CROP/CRIC 2
(Prorata Realloc.)
42 45 10 3 -
7. CROP/Media 2
(Special Realloc.)*
40 45 14 1 -
8. Hypothetical CROP/CRIC 2
(Special Realloc.)*
44 43 10 3 -
9. Election Results 44 43 12 2 -

Sources: The CROP/media polls were carried out for La Presse, the Toronto Star and TVA; the CROP poll carried out between October 14 and 27, 1998 was for the Centre for Research and Information on Canada (CRIC).
* In 7 and 8, the undeclared vote intentions are reallocated according to the referendum vote intentions of these respondents. Note that in 9 the results add up to 101% after rounding.

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